Hurricane NOEL
SUBJ: HURRICANE NOEL (16L) WARNING NR 025
WTNT01 KNGU 022101
1. HURRICANE NOEL (16L) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN ATLANTIC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 30.3N 73.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.3N 73.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 34.5N 71.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
420 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 39.4N 69.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
360 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 420 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
480 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
300 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 44.7N 65.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 480 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
540 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
420 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 33 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 50.6N 61.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 480 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
540 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
480 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 61.0N 52.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
360 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
360 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 68.0N 46.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
022100Z POSITION NEAR 31.4N 72.8W OR 360NM ESE OF
CHARLESTON SC. 12FT SEAS: 480NM NE, 390NM SE, 360NM SW,
480NM NW. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
NAVAL MARITIME FORECAST CENTER (NMFC-N). THE SYSTEM WILL
BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
BT
#0001
NNNN
